Śląsk Wrocław II vs Górnik Łęczna Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Śląsk Wrocław II vs Górnik Łęczna
Model pick: Górnik Łęczna (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.56
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Śląsk Wrocław II | Górnik Łęczna |
|---|
| League position | #8 (3 pts) | #10 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 3.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*Śląsk Wrocław II shown at home, Górnik Łęczna shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Śląsk Wrocław II — last 5
LLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Górnik Łęczna — last 5
LWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Śląsk Wrocław II (home) | Górnik Łęczna (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 60% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 1.56):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Śląsk Wrocław II or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Górnik Łęczna or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Śląsk Wrocław II clean sheet | 21% |
| Górnik Łęczna clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Górnik Łęczna is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Górnik Łęczna edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Śląsk Wrocław II vs Górnik Łęczna — FAQ
Who will win Śląsk Wrocław II vs Górnik Łęczna?
Our statistical model makes Górnik Łęczna the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Śląsk Wrocław II 36%, draw 25%, Górnik Łęczna 39%.
Will both teams score in Śląsk Wrocław II vs Górnik Łęczna?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Śląsk Wrocław II vs Górnik Łęczna?
Expected goals are 1.47 for Śląsk Wrocław II and 1.56 for Górnik Łęczna — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Śląsk Wrocław II vs Górnik Łęczna?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Śląsk Wrocław II or draw is 60%.