Śląsk Wrocław II vs Olimpia Grudziądz Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Śląsk Wrocław II vs Olimpia Grudziądz
Model pick: Śląsk Wrocław II (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.85 – 1.56
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Śląsk Wrocław II | Olimpia Grudziądz |
|---|
| League position | #15 (6 pts) | #10 (8 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 40% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Śląsk Wrocław II shown at home, Olimpia Grudziądz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Śląsk Wrocław II — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Olimpia Grudziądz — last 5
WDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Śląsk Wrocław II (home) | Olimpia Grudziądz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-2 in 3 (1.7 / 1.7 goals per game) | 2-2-1 in 5 (1.4 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 61% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.85 vs 1.56):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Śląsk Wrocław II or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Olimpia Grudziądz or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Śląsk Wrocław II clean sheet | 21% |
| Olimpia Grudziądz clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Śląsk Wrocław II is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Śląsk Wrocław II are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Śląsk Wrocław II vs Olimpia Grudziądz — FAQ
Who will win Śląsk Wrocław II vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our statistical model makes Śląsk Wrocław II the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Śląsk Wrocław II 43%, draw 24%, Olimpia Grudziądz 33%.
Will both teams score in Śląsk Wrocław II vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Śląsk Wrocław II vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Expected goals are 1.85 for Śląsk Wrocław II and 1.56 for Olimpia Grudziądz — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Śląsk Wrocław II vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Śląsk Wrocław II or draw is 67%.