Śląsk Wrocław vs Cracovia Kraków Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
Śląsk Wrocław vs Cracovia Kraków
Model pick: Śląsk Wrocław (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.36 – 1.07
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Śląsk Wrocław | Cracovia Kraków |
|---|
| League position | #8 (3 pts) | #13 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
*Śląsk Wrocław shown at home, Cracovia Kraków shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Śląsk Wrocław — last 5
WDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Cracovia Kraków — last 5
LWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Śląsk Wrocław (home) | Cracovia Kraków (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 43% |
| Top scorer | – | Ajdin Hasic (7) |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.36 vs 1.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Śląsk Wrocław or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Cracovia Kraków or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Śląsk Wrocław clean sheet | 34% |
| Cracovia Kraków clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Śląsk Wrocław is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Śląsk Wrocław are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Śląsk Wrocław vs Cracovia Kraków — FAQ
Who will win Śląsk Wrocław vs Cracovia Kraków?
Our statistical model makes Śląsk Wrocław the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Śląsk Wrocław 42%, draw 28%, Cracovia Kraków 30%.
Will both teams score in Śląsk Wrocław vs Cracovia Kraków?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Śląsk Wrocław vs Cracovia Kraków?
Expected goals are 1.36 for Śląsk Wrocław and 1.07 for Cracovia Kraków — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Śląsk Wrocław vs Cracovia Kraków?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Śląsk Wrocław or draw is 71%.