Śląsk Wrocław vs Widzew Łódź Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 18:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
Śląsk Wrocław vs Widzew Łódź
Model pick: Widzew Łódź (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.34 – 1.04
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Śląsk Wrocław | Widzew Łódź |
|---|
| League position | #12 (4 pts) | #8 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.5 | 1.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
*Śląsk Wrocław shown at home, Widzew Łódź shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Śląsk Wrocław — last 5
WLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Widzew Łódź — last 5
WDDWL
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Śląsk Wrocław (home) | Widzew Łódź (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (1.0 / 0.5 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 48% |
| Top scorer | – | Sebastian Bergier (12) |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.34 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Śląsk Wrocław or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Widzew Łódź or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Śląsk Wrocław clean sheet | 35% |
| Widzew Łódź clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Widzew Łódź is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Widzew Łódź edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Śląsk Wrocław vs Widzew Łódź — FAQ
Who will win Śląsk Wrocław vs Widzew Łódź?
Our statistical model makes Widzew Łódź the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Śląsk Wrocław 35%, draw 28%, Widzew Łódź 37%.
Will both teams score in Śląsk Wrocław vs Widzew Łódź?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Śląsk Wrocław vs Widzew Łódź?
Expected goals are 1.34 for Śląsk Wrocław and 1.04 for Widzew Łódź — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Śląsk Wrocław vs Widzew Łódź?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Śląsk Wrocław or draw is 71%.