Laagri vs Tammeka Prediction & Preview
Meistriliiga (Estonia) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
MEISTRILIIGA (ESTONIA)
Laagri vs Tammeka
Model pick: Laagri (47%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.85 – 1.34
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Laagri | Tammeka |
|---|
| League position | #6 (31 pts) | #5 (38 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 46% | 45% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
*Laagri shown at home, Tammeka shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Laagri — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 19% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
Tammeka — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Laagri (home) | Tammeka (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-6 in 13 (1.8 / 1.5 goals per game) | 5-1-5 in 11 (1.2 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 19% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 62% |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 51%
Use these Meistriliiga (Estonia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.85 vs 1.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Laagri or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Tammeka or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Laagri clean sheet | 26% |
| Tammeka clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Laagri is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Laagri are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Laagri vs Tammeka — FAQ
Who will win Laagri vs Tammeka?
Our statistical model makes Laagri the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Laagri 47%, draw 24%, Tammeka 29%.
Will both teams score in Laagri vs Tammeka?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Laagri vs Tammeka?
Expected goals are 1.85 for Laagri and 1.34 for Tammeka — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Laagri vs Tammeka?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Laagri or draw is 72%.