Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Thailand) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (THAILAND)
Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani
Model pick: Lamphun Warrior (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 1.03
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lamphun Warrior | Uthai Thani |
|---|
| League position | #11 (0 pts) | #13 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Lamphun Warrior shown at home, Uthai Thani shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lamphun Warrior — last 5
WLDDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Uthai Thani — last 5
LDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 11% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lamphun Warrior (home) | Uthai Thani (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Mohammed Osman (3) | Mohamed Eisa (9) |
Premier League (Thailand) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Premier League (Thailand) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Lamphun Warrior or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Uthai Thani or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Lamphun Warrior clean sheet | 36% |
| Uthai Thani clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lamphun Warrior is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Lamphun Warrior are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani — FAQ
Who will win Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani?
Our statistical model makes Lamphun Warrior the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Lamphun Warrior 44%, draw 28%, Uthai Thani 28%.
Will both teams score in Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani?
Expected goals are 1.4 for Lamphun Warrior and 1.03 for Uthai Thani — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Lamphun Warrior or draw is 72%.