Lancaster vs Quorn Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Lancaster vs Quorn
Model pick: Quorn (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.34 – 3.59
Total goals: 5.9
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 73%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lancaster | Quorn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.8 |
*Lancaster shown at home, Quorn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lancaster — last 5
DLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Quorn — last 5
LDLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lancaster (home) | Quorn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.34 vs 3.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-3 (6%) |
| Double chance — Lancaster or draw (1X) | 39% |
| Double chance — Quorn or draw (X2) | 77% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Lancaster clean sheet | 3% |
| Quorn clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Quorn is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Quorn edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.9, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lancaster vs Quorn — FAQ
Who will win Lancaster vs Quorn?
Our statistical model makes Quorn the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Lancaster 25%, draw 17%, Quorn 58%.
Will both teams score in Lancaster vs Quorn?
The model gives a 73% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lancaster vs Quorn?
Expected goals are 2.34 for Lancaster and 3.59 for Quorn — about 5.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lancaster vs Quorn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-3 (6%). Double chance for Lancaster or draw is 39%.