Landsberg vs Illertissen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Landsberg vs Illertissen
Model pick: Illertissen (98%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.06 – 5.28
Total goals: 5.3
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Landsberg | Illertissen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.67 / 2.0 | 3.6 / 0.8 |
*Landsberg shown at home, Illertissen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Landsberg — last 5
WLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Illertissen — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Landsberg (home) | Illertissen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.06 vs 5.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-5 (18%) |
| Double chance — Landsberg or draw (1X) | 1% |
| Double chance — Illertissen or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Landsberg clean sheet | 1% |
| Illertissen clean sheet | 94% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Illertissen is the model's most likely outcome at
98%. Despite playing away, Illertissen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.3, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Landsberg vs Illertissen — FAQ
Who will win Landsberg vs Illertissen?
Our statistical model makes Illertissen the most likely result at 98%. Full probabilities: Landsberg 0%, draw 1%, Illertissen 98%.
Will both teams score in Landsberg vs Illertissen?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Landsberg vs Illertissen?
Expected goals are 0.06 for Landsberg and 5.28 for Illertissen — about 5.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Landsberg vs Illertissen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-5 (18%). Double chance for Landsberg or draw is 1%.