Landshut vs Heimstetten Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Landshut vs Heimstetten
Model pick: Landshut (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.79 – 1.04
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Landshut | Heimstetten |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*Landshut shown at home, Heimstetten shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Landshut — last 5
LDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Heimstetten — last 5
LLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Landshut (home) | Heimstetten (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.79 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Landshut or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Heimstetten or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Landshut clean sheet | 35% |
| Heimstetten clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Landshut is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Landshut are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Landshut vs Heimstetten — FAQ
Who will win Landshut vs Heimstetten?
Our statistical model makes Landshut the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Landshut 52%, draw 25%, Heimstetten 24%.
Will both teams score in Landshut vs Heimstetten?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Landshut vs Heimstetten?
Expected goals are 1.79 for Landshut and 1.04 for Heimstetten — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Landshut vs Heimstetten?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Landshut or draw is 78%.