Landskrona vs Helsingborg Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Landskrona vs Helsingborg
Model pick: Landskrona (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.19
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Landskrona | Helsingborg |
|---|
| League position | #7 (31 pts) | #10 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.0 | 1.5 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 30% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.6 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
*Landskrona shown at home, Helsingborg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Landskrona — last 5
WDWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Helsingborg — last 5
LDLWD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Landskrona (home) | Helsingborg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-5-2 in 10 (1.2 / 1.0 goals per game) | 3-2-5 in 10 (1.5 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Adam Egnell (2) | Ervin Gigovic (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.33 vs 1.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Landskrona or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Helsingborg or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Landskrona clean sheet | 30% |
| Helsingborg clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Landskrona is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Landskrona are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Landskrona vs Helsingborg — FAQ
Who will win Landskrona vs Helsingborg?
Our statistical model makes Landskrona the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Landskrona 44%, draw 27%, Helsingborg 29%.
Will both teams score in Landskrona vs Helsingborg?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Landskrona vs Helsingborg?
Expected goals are 1.33 for Landskrona and 1.19 for Helsingborg — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Landskrona vs Helsingborg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Landskrona or draw is 67%.