Landskrona vs Norrköping Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Jul 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Landskrona vs Norrköping
Model pick: Norrköping (82%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.12 – 2.2
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 28%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Landskrona | Norrköping |
|---|
| League position | #4 (25 pts) | #2 (29 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 43% | 62% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.0 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
*Landskrona shown at home, Norrköping shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Landskrona — last 5
WDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Norrköping — last 5
LLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Landskrona (home) | Norrköping (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-3-1 in 7 (1.4 / 1.0 goals per game) | 5-1-2 in 8 (1.4 / 0.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 57% |
| Top scorer | Adam Egnell (2) | Christoffer Nyman (3) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.12 vs 2.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (24%) |
| Double chance — Landskrona or draw (1X) | 14% |
| Double chance — Norrköping or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Landskrona clean sheet | 11% |
| Norrköping clean sheet | 89% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Norrköping is the model's most likely outcome at
82%. Despite playing away, Norrköping edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Landskrona vs Norrköping — FAQ
Who will win Landskrona vs Norrköping?
Our statistical model makes Norrköping the most likely result at 82%. Full probabilities: Landskrona 2%, draw 16%, Norrköping 82%.
Will both teams score in Landskrona vs Norrköping?
The model gives a 28% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Landskrona vs Norrköping?
Expected goals are 0.12 for Landskrona and 2.2 for Norrköping — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Landskrona vs Norrköping?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (24%). Double chance for Landskrona or draw is 14%.