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Landskrona vs Östersunds FK Prediction & Preview

Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Landskrona vs Östersunds FK
Model pick: Landskrona (43%) Goals: Under 2.5 BTTS: Yes

📊 Match Prediction

Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):

43%
Landskrona
27%
Draw
30%
Östersunds FK
Expected goals: 1.520.94 Total goals: 2.5 Over 2.5: 48% Both teams score: 56%

⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats

LandskronaÖstersunds FK
League position#8 (29 pts)#4 (33 pts)
Goals scored / conceded per game*1.2 / 1.01.4 / 1.2
Win rate this season*33%30%
Last 5 goals for / against0.8 / 0.81.4 / 0.8
*Landskrona shown at home, Östersunds FK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.

🔥 Recent Form

Landskrona — last 5

LLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.

Östersunds FK — last 5

DWWDW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.

📈 Key Stats & Trends

TrendLandskrona (home)Östersunds FK (away)
This season record3-4-2 in 9 (1.2 / 1.0 goals per game)3-4-3 in 10 (1.4 / 1.2 goals per game)
Clean sheet rate30%19%
Both teams scored60%46%
Over 2.5 goals51%44%
Top scorerAdam Egnell (2)

Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season

Avg goals / game: 2.73 Home wins: 44% Draws: 27% Away wins: 29% Over 2.5: 52% BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.

🎲 More Prediction Markets

Derived from the model's expected goals (1.52 vs 0.94):

MarketModel probability
Most likely scoreline1-0 (13%)
Double chance — Landskrona or draw (1X)77%
Double chance — Östersunds FK or draw (X2)49%
Double chance — either team (12)74%
Over / Under 1.5 goals70% / 30%
Over / Under 3.5 goals23% / 77%
Landskrona clean sheet39%
Östersunds FK clean sheet22%

🎯 Our Verdict

Landskrona is the model's most likely outcome at 43%. Landskrona are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5). The lean on goals is Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com

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❓ Landskrona vs Östersunds FK — FAQ

Who will win Landskrona vs Östersunds FK?

Our statistical model makes Landskrona the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Landskrona 43%, draw 27%, Östersunds FK 30%.

Will both teams score in Landskrona vs Östersunds FK?

The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.

How many goals in Landskrona vs Östersunds FK?

Expected goals are 1.52 for Landskrona and 0.94 for Östersunds FK — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.

What is the most likely score in Landskrona vs Östersunds FK?

The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Landskrona or draw is 77%.