Largs Thistle vs Auchinleck Talbot Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Largs Thistle vs Auchinleck Talbot
Model pick: Draw (77%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 0.13
Total goals: 0.2
Over 2.5: 2%
Both teams score: 10%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Largs Thistle | Auchinleck Talbot |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.67 / 0.0 | 4.75 / 0.0 |
*Largs Thistle shown at home, Auchinleck Talbot shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Largs Thistle — last 5
WWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Auchinleck Talbot — last 5
WWWW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Largs Thistle (home) | Auchinleck Talbot (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.45
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 0.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (82%) |
| Double chance — Largs Thistle or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Auchinleck Talbot or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 17% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Largs Thistle clean sheet | 88% |
| Auchinleck Talbot clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
77%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (98% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Largs Thistle vs Auchinleck Talbot — FAQ
Who will win Largs Thistle vs Auchinleck Talbot?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 77%. Full probabilities: Largs Thistle 8%, draw 77%, Auchinleck Talbot 14%.
Will both teams score in Largs Thistle vs Auchinleck Talbot?
The model gives a 10% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Largs Thistle vs Auchinleck Talbot?
Expected goals are 0.07 for Largs Thistle and 0.13 for Auchinleck Talbot — about 0.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Largs Thistle vs Auchinleck Talbot?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (82%). Double chance for Largs Thistle or draw is 89%.