LASK vs Grazer AK Prediction & Preview
Bundesliga (Austria) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BUNDESLIGA (AUSTRIA)
LASK vs Grazer AK
Model pick: LASK (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.92 – 0.95
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| LASK | Grazer AK |
|---|
| League position | #6 (0 pts) | #2 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 1.8 |
*LASK shown at home, Grazer AK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
LASK — last 5
LLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Grazer AK — last 5
WLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | LASK (home) | Grazer AK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 59% |
Bundesliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Bundesliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.92 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — LASK or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Grazer AK or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| LASK clean sheet | 39% |
| Grazer AK clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
LASK is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. LASK are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ LASK vs Grazer AK — FAQ
Who will win LASK vs Grazer AK?
Our statistical model makes LASK the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: LASK 56%, draw 24%, Grazer AK 20%.
Will both teams score in LASK vs Grazer AK?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in LASK vs Grazer AK?
Expected goals are 1.92 for LASK and 0.95 for Grazer AK — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in LASK vs Grazer AK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%). Double chance for LASK or draw is 82%.