Leamington vs Worcester Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Leamington vs Worcester
Model pick: Leamington (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.09 – 1.11
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Leamington | Worcester |
|---|
| League position | #20 (1 pts) | #14 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.0 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Leamington shown at home, Worcester shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Leamington — last 5
WLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Worcester — last 5
LWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Leamington (home) | Worcester (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-2 in 3 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 67% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.09 vs 1.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Leamington or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Worcester or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Leamington clean sheet | 33% |
| Worcester clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Leamington is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Leamington are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Leamington vs Worcester — FAQ
Who will win Leamington vs Worcester?
Our statistical model makes Leamington the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Leamington 56%, draw 23%, Worcester 21%.
Will both teams score in Leamington vs Worcester?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Leamington vs Worcester?
Expected goals are 2.09 for Leamington and 1.11 for Worcester — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Leamington vs Worcester?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Leamington or draw is 81%.