Leatherhead vs Maldon and Tiptree Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Leatherhead vs Maldon and Tiptree
Model pick: Leatherhead (93%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.78 – 0.59
Total goals: 5.4
Over 2.5: 77%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Leatherhead | Maldon and Tiptree |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.4 | 0.67 / 2.67 |
*Leatherhead shown at home, Maldon and Tiptree shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Leatherhead — last 5
WDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Maldon and Tiptree — last 5
LWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Leatherhead (home) | Maldon and Tiptree (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.78 vs 0.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Leatherhead or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Maldon and Tiptree or draw (X2) | 4% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Leatherhead clean sheet | 55% |
| Maldon and Tiptree clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Leatherhead is the model's most likely outcome at
93%. Leatherhead are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.4, this shapes as an open game (77% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Leatherhead vs Maldon and Tiptree — FAQ
Who will win Leatherhead vs Maldon and Tiptree?
Our statistical model makes Leatherhead the most likely result at 93%. Full probabilities: Leatherhead 93%, draw 5%, Maldon and Tiptree 2%.
Will both teams score in Leatherhead vs Maldon and Tiptree?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Leatherhead vs Maldon and Tiptree?
Expected goals are 4.78 for Leatherhead and 0.59 for Maldon and Tiptree — about 5.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Leatherhead vs Maldon and Tiptree?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (11%). Double chance for Leatherhead or draw is 99%.