Legia II vs Kleczew Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Legia II vs Kleczew
Model pick: Legia II (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.04 – 1.25
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Legia II | Kleczew |
|---|
| League position | #15 (3 pts) | #13 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 3.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
*Legia II shown at home, Kleczew shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Legia II — last 5
DLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Kleczew — last 5
DDDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 73% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Legia II (home) | Kleczew (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.0 / 3.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 73% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.04 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Legia II or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Kleczew or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Legia II clean sheet | 29% |
| Kleczew clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Legia II is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Legia II are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Legia II vs Kleczew — FAQ
Who will win Legia II vs Kleczew?
Our statistical model makes Legia II the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Legia II 52%, draw 23%, Kleczew 25%.
Will both teams score in Legia II vs Kleczew?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Legia II vs Kleczew?
Expected goals are 2.04 for Legia II and 1.25 for Kleczew — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Legia II vs Kleczew?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Legia II or draw is 77%.