Legia II vs Świt Skolwin Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Legia II vs Świt Skolwin
Model pick: Świt Skolwin (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.78 – 2.15
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Legia II | Świt Skolwin |
|---|
| League position | #15 (0 pts) | #16 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 2.0 |
*Legia II shown at home, Świt Skolwin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Legia II — last 5
WLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Świt Skolwin — last 5
WWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Legia II (home) | Świt Skolwin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 61% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.78 vs 2.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (12%) |
| Double chance — Legia II or draw (1X) | 31% |
| Double chance — Świt Skolwin or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Legia II clean sheet | 12% |
| Świt Skolwin clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Świt Skolwin is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Despite playing away, Świt Skolwin edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Legia II vs Świt Skolwin — FAQ
Who will win Legia II vs Świt Skolwin?
Our statistical model makes Świt Skolwin the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Legia II 15%, draw 21%, Świt Skolwin 64%.
Will both teams score in Legia II vs Świt Skolwin?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Legia II vs Świt Skolwin?
Expected goals are 0.78 for Legia II and 2.15 for Świt Skolwin — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Legia II vs Świt Skolwin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (12%). Double chance for Legia II or draw is 31%.