Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzow Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzow
Model pick: Stilon Gorzow (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.97 – 1.75
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Legnica II | Stilon Gorzow |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
*Legnica II shown at home, Stilon Gorzow shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Legnica II — last 5
LLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Stilon Gorzow — last 5
WLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Legnica II (home) | Stilon Gorzow (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 65%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.97 vs 1.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Legnica II or draw (1X) | 44% |
| Double chance — Stilon Gorzow or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Legnica II clean sheet | 17% |
| Stilon Gorzow clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stilon Gorzow is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Stilon Gorzow edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzow — FAQ
Who will win Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzow?
Our statistical model makes Stilon Gorzow the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Legnica II 22%, draw 25%, Stilon Gorzow 52%.
Will both teams score in Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzow?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzow?
Expected goals are 0.97 for Legnica II and 1.75 for Stilon Gorzow — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzow?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Double chance for Legnica II or draw is 44%.