Leher vs Aumund-Vegesack Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Leher vs Aumund-Vegesack
Model pick: Draw (72%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.14 – 0.14
Total goals: 0.3
Over 2.5: 4%
Both teams score: 14%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Leher | Aumund-Vegesack |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 1.5 | 2.5 / 2.5 |
*Leher shown at home, Aumund-Vegesack shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Leher — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Aumund-Vegesack — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Leher (home) | Aumund-Vegesack (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.14 vs 0.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (76%) |
| Double chance — Leher or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Aumund-Vegesack or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 23% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Leher clean sheet | 87% |
| Aumund-Vegesack clean sheet | 87% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (96% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Leher vs Aumund-Vegesack — FAQ
Who will win Leher vs Aumund-Vegesack?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Leher 14%, draw 72%, Aumund-Vegesack 14%.
Will both teams score in Leher vs Aumund-Vegesack?
The model gives a 14% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Leher vs Aumund-Vegesack?
Expected goals are 0.14 for Leher and 0.14 for Aumund-Vegesack — about 0.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Leher vs Aumund-Vegesack?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (76%). Double chance for Leher or draw is 89%.