Leobendorf vs Horn Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Leobendorf vs Horn
Model pick: Leobendorf (87%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.64 – 0.09
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 26%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Leobendorf | Horn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 0.8 |
*Leobendorf shown at home, Horn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Leobendorf — last 5
WLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Horn — last 5
LDDLW
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Leobendorf (home) | Horn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.64 vs 0.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Leobendorf or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Horn or draw (X2) | 9% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Leobendorf clean sheet | 91% |
| Horn clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Leobendorf is the model's most likely outcome at
87%. Leobendorf are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Leobendorf vs Horn — FAQ
Who will win Leobendorf vs Horn?
Our statistical model makes Leobendorf the most likely result at 87%. Full probabilities: Leobendorf 87%, draw 11%, Horn 1%.
Will both teams score in Leobendorf vs Horn?
The model gives a 26% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Leobendorf vs Horn?
Expected goals are 2.64 for Leobendorf and 0.09 for Horn — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Leobendorf vs Horn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (23%). Double chance for Leobendorf or draw is 99%.