Leobendorf vs SV Oberwart Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Leobendorf vs SV Oberwart
Model pick: Leobendorf (74%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.28 – 1.08
Total goals: 4.4
Over 2.5: 70%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Leobendorf | SV Oberwart |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 2.6 / 2.6 |
*Leobendorf shown at home, SV Oberwart shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Leobendorf — last 5
LDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
SV Oberwart — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Leobendorf (home) | SV Oberwart (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.28 vs 1.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Leobendorf or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — SV Oberwart or draw (X2) | 21% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Leobendorf clean sheet | 34% |
| SV Oberwart clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Leobendorf is the model's most likely outcome at
74%. Leobendorf are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.4, this shapes as an open game (70% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Leobendorf vs SV Oberwart — FAQ
Who will win Leobendorf vs SV Oberwart?
Our statistical model makes Leobendorf the most likely result at 74%. Full probabilities: Leobendorf 74%, draw 15%, SV Oberwart 11%.
Will both teams score in Leobendorf vs SV Oberwart?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Leobendorf vs SV Oberwart?
Expected goals are 3.28 for Leobendorf and 1.08 for SV Oberwart — about 4.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Leobendorf vs SV Oberwart?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (8%). Double chance for Leobendorf or draw is 91%.