Leonfelden vs Dietach Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Leonfelden vs Dietach
Model pick: Leonfelden (81%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.73 – 0.97
Total goals: 4.7
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Leonfelden | Dietach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #11 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.4 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
*Leonfelden shown at home, Dietach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Leonfelden — last 5
LDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Dietach — last 5
WDLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Leonfelden (home) | Dietach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 4-2-9 in 15 (1.3 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 80% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.73 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (8%) |
| Double chance — Leonfelden or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — Dietach or draw (X2) | 14% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Leonfelden clean sheet | 38% |
| Dietach clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Leonfelden is the model's most likely outcome at
81%. Leonfelden are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.7, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Leonfelden vs Dietach — FAQ
Who will win Leonfelden vs Dietach?
Our statistical model makes Leonfelden the most likely result at 81%. Full probabilities: Leonfelden 81%, draw 12%, Dietach 8%.
Will both teams score in Leonfelden vs Dietach?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Leonfelden vs Dietach?
Expected goals are 3.73 for Leonfelden and 0.97 for Dietach — about 4.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Leonfelden vs Dietach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (8%). Double chance for Leonfelden or draw is 94%.