Levski Karlovo vs Yambol 1915 Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Levski Karlovo vs Yambol 1915
Model pick: Yambol 1915 (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.12 – 3.75
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 30%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Levski Karlovo | Yambol 1915 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 3.0 | 2.5 / 1.25 |
*Levski Karlovo shown at home, Yambol 1915 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Levski Karlovo — last 5
LLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Yambol 1915 — last 5
DWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Levski Karlovo (home) | Yambol 1915 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.12 vs 3.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (19%) |
| Double chance — Levski Karlovo or draw (1X) | 4% |
| Double chance — Yambol 1915 or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Levski Karlovo clean sheet | 2% |
| Yambol 1915 clean sheet | 89% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Yambol 1915 is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Despite playing away, Yambol 1915 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Levski Karlovo vs Yambol 1915 — FAQ
Who will win Levski Karlovo vs Yambol 1915?
Our statistical model makes Yambol 1915 the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: Levski Karlovo 1%, draw 5%, Yambol 1915 94%.
Will both teams score in Levski Karlovo vs Yambol 1915?
The model gives a 30% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Levski Karlovo vs Yambol 1915?
Expected goals are 0.12 for Levski Karlovo and 3.75 for Yambol 1915 — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Levski Karlovo vs Yambol 1915?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (19%). Double chance for Levski Karlovo or draw is 4%.