Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough
Model pick: Lewes (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.32
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lewes | Eastbourne Borough |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 2.4 |
*Lewes shown at home, Eastbourne Borough shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lewes — last 5
LLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Eastbourne Borough — last 5
LDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lewes (home) | Eastbourne Borough (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 51% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.54 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Lewes or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Eastbourne Borough or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Lewes clean sheet | 27% |
| Eastbourne Borough clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lewes is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Lewes are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough — FAQ
Who will win Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough?
Our statistical model makes Lewes the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Lewes 41%, draw 26%, Eastbourne Borough 33%.
Will both teams score in Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough?
Expected goals are 1.54 for Lewes and 1.32 for Eastbourne Borough — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Lewes or draw is 67%.