Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Jul 25, 2026 · kickoff 11:35 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast
Model pick: Liaoning Tieren (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.96 – 0.93
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Liaoning Tieren | Qingdao West Coast |
|---|
| League position | #9 (21 pts) | #5 (25 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 56% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
*Liaoning Tieren shown at home, Qingdao West Coast shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Liaoning Tieren — last 5
WD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Qingdao West Coast — last 5
WWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Liaoning Tieren (home) | Qingdao West Coast (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-0-4 in 9 (1.7 / 1.6 goals per game) | 2-3-4 in 9 (1.1 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 62% |
| Top scorer | – | Nelson Da Luz (8) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.96 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (9%) |
| Double chance — Liaoning Tieren or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Qingdao West Coast or draw (X2) | 22% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Liaoning Tieren clean sheet | 39% |
| Qingdao West Coast clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Liaoning Tieren is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Liaoning Tieren are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast — FAQ
Who will win Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast?
Our statistical model makes Liaoning Tieren the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Liaoning Tieren 56%, draw 22%, Qingdao West Coast 22%.
Will both teams score in Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast?
Expected goals are 2.96 for Liaoning Tieren and 0.93 for Qingdao West Coast — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (9%). Double chance for Liaoning Tieren or draw is 91%.