Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf
Model pick: Hertha Zehlendorf (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.72 – 1.15
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lichtenberg | Hertha Zehlendorf |
|---|
| League position | #8 (3 pts) | #6 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 3.4 | 0.5 / 2.0 |
*Lichtenberg shown at home, Hertha Zehlendorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lichtenberg — last 5
LLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Hertha Zehlendorf — last 5
LLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lichtenberg (home) | Hertha Zehlendorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.72 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (18%) |
| Double chance — Lichtenberg or draw (1X) | 54% |
| Double chance — Hertha Zehlendorf or draw (X2) | 77% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Lichtenberg clean sheet | 32% |
| Hertha Zehlendorf clean sheet | 49% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hertha Zehlendorf is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, Hertha Zehlendorf edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf — FAQ
Who will win Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf?
Our statistical model makes Hertha Zehlendorf the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Lichtenberg 24%, draw 32%, Hertha Zehlendorf 44%.
Will both teams score in Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf?
Expected goals are 0.72 for Lichtenberg and 1.15 for Hertha Zehlendorf — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lichtenberg vs Hertha Zehlendorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (18%). Double chance for Lichtenberg or draw is 54%.