Liefering vs Austria Wien II Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
Liefering vs Austria Wien II
Model pick: Liefering (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.97 – 1.09
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Liefering | Austria Wien II |
|---|
| League position | #13 (3 pts) | #2 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 3.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.2 | 2.6 / 1.2 |
*Liefering shown at home, Austria Wien II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Liefering — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
Austria Wien II — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Liefering (home) | Austria Wien II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 60% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.97 vs 1.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Liefering or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Austria Wien II or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Liefering clean sheet | 34% |
| Austria Wien II clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Liefering is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Liefering are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Liefering vs Austria Wien II — FAQ
Who will win Liefering vs Austria Wien II?
Our statistical model makes Liefering the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Liefering 54%, draw 23%, Austria Wien II 22%.
Will both teams score in Liefering vs Austria Wien II?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Liefering vs Austria Wien II?
Expected goals are 1.97 for Liefering and 1.09 for Austria Wien II — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Liefering vs Austria Wien II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Liefering or draw is 79%.