Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona
Model pick: Karlskrona (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.45 – 21.78
Total goals: 22.2
Over 2.5: 4%
Both teams score: 5%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lilla Torg | Karlskrona |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.67 / 2.0 | 3.67 / 1.0 |
*Lilla Torg shown at home, Karlskrona shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lilla Torg — last 5
DLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Karlskrona — last 5
LWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lilla Torg (home) | Karlskrona (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.45 vs 21.78):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-8 (42%) |
| Double chance — Lilla Torg or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Karlskrona or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Lilla Torg clean sheet | 0% |
| Karlskrona clean sheet | 64% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Karlskrona is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Despite playing away, Karlskrona edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (96% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona — FAQ
Who will win Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?
Our statistical model makes Karlskrona the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Lilla Torg 0%, draw 0%, Karlskrona 100%.
Will both teams score in Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?
The model gives a 5% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?
Expected goals are 0.45 for Lilla Torg and 21.78 for Karlskrona — about 22.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-8 (42%). Double chance for Lilla Torg or draw is 0%.