Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad
Model pick: Harstad (87%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.36 – 3.22
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lillestrom 2 | Harstad |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.33 / 3.33 | 6.67 / 1.0 |
*Lillestrom 2 shown at home, Harstad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lillestrom 2 — last 5
LLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Harstad — last 5
WWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lillestrom 2 (home) | Harstad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.67
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 78%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.36 vs 3.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (16%) |
| Double chance — Lillestrom 2 or draw (1X) | 9% |
| Double chance — Harstad or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Lillestrom 2 clean sheet | 4% |
| Harstad clean sheet | 70% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Harstad is the model's most likely outcome at
87%. Despite playing away, Harstad edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad — FAQ
Who will win Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad?
Our statistical model makes Harstad the most likely result at 87%. Full probabilities: Lillestrom 2 3%, draw 10%, Harstad 87%.
Will both teams score in Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad?
Expected goals are 0.36 for Lillestrom 2 and 3.22 for Harstad — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (16%). Double chance for Lillestrom 2 or draw is 9%.