Lillestrom 2 vs Kongsvinger 2 Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 03, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Lillestrom 2 vs Kongsvinger 2
Model pick: Lillestrom 2 (69%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 252.99 – 1.28
Total goals: 254.3
Over 2.5: 0%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lillestrom 2 | Kongsvinger 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 3.0 | 1.0 / 3.0 |
*Lillestrom 2 shown at home, Kongsvinger 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lillestrom 2 — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Kongsvinger 2 — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lillestrom 2 (home) | Kongsvinger 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.78
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 13%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 81%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (252.99 vs 1.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-1 (34%) |
| Double chance — Lillestrom 2 or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Kongsvinger 2 or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Lillestrom 2 clean sheet | 28% |
| Kongsvinger 2 clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lillestrom 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Lillestrom 2 are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (100% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lillestrom 2 vs Kongsvinger 2 — FAQ
Who will win Lillestrom 2 vs Kongsvinger 2?
Our statistical model makes Lillestrom 2 the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Lillestrom 2 69%, draw 13%, Kongsvinger 2 18%.
Will both teams score in Lillestrom 2 vs Kongsvinger 2?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lillestrom 2 vs Kongsvinger 2?
Expected goals are 252.99 for Lillestrom 2 and 1.28 for Kongsvinger 2 — about 254.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lillestrom 2 vs Kongsvinger 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-1 (34%). Double chance for Lillestrom 2 or draw is 100%.