Limache vs Cobresal Prediction & Preview
Liga De Primera (Chile) · Sep 07, 2026 · kickoff 23:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA DE PRIMERA (CHILE)
Limache vs Cobresal
Model pick: Limache (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.6 – 1.46
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Limache | Cobresal |
|---|
| League position | #8 (27 pts) | #15 (21 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 56% | 9% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Limache shown at home, Cobresal shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Limache — last 5
LWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 37% of home games go over 2.5.
Cobresal — last 5
WLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Limache (home) | Cobresal (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-0-4 in 9 (2.0 / 1.4 goals per game) | 1-3-7 in 11 (1.5 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 37% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Daniel Castro (9) | Steffan Pino (6) |
Liga De Primera (Chile) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Liga De Primera (Chile) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.6 vs 1.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Limache or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Cobresal or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Limache clean sheet | 23% |
| Cobresal clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Limache is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Limache are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Limache vs Cobresal — FAQ
Who will win Limache vs Cobresal?
Our statistical model makes Limache the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Limache 49%, draw 25%, Cobresal 26%.
Will both teams score in Limache vs Cobresal?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Limache vs Cobresal?
Expected goals are 1.6 for Limache and 1.46 for Cobresal — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Limache vs Cobresal?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Limache or draw is 65%.