Limache vs Everton Prediction & Preview
Liga De Primera (Chile) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 21:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA DE PRIMERA (CHILE)
Limache vs Everton
Model pick: Limache (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.22
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Limache | Everton |
|---|
| League position | #6 (27 pts) | #7 (27 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 62% | 44% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.2 | 2.0 / 1.4 |
*Limache shown at home, Everton shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Limache — last 5
LLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Everton — last 5
WDLWD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Limache (home) | Everton (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-0-3 in 8 (2.2 / 1.2 goals per game) | 4-2-3 in 9 (1.7 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 39% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Daniel Castro (9) | Cristian Palacios (3) |
Liga De Primera (Chile) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Liga De Primera (Chile) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.54 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Limache or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Everton or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Limache clean sheet | 30% |
| Everton clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Limache is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Limache are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Limache vs Everton — FAQ
Who will win Limache vs Everton?
Our statistical model makes Limache the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Limache 42%, draw 27%, Everton 30%.
Will both teams score in Limache vs Everton?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Limache vs Everton?
Expected goals are 1.54 for Limache and 1.22 for Everton — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Limache vs Everton?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Limache or draw is 70%.