Lindome vs Astrio Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Lindome vs Astrio
Model pick: Lindome (72%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.98 – 0.12
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 29%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lindome | Astrio |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 4.5 |
*Lindome shown at home, Astrio shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lindome — last 5
LW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Astrio — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lindome (home) | Astrio (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.98 vs 0.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Lindome or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Astrio or draw (X2) | 3% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Lindome clean sheet | 89% |
| Astrio clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lindome is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Lindome are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lindome vs Astrio — FAQ
Who will win Lindome vs Astrio?
Our statistical model makes Lindome the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Lindome 72%, draw 14%, Astrio 13%.
Will both teams score in Lindome vs Astrio?
The model gives a 29% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Lindome vs Astrio?
Expected goals are 3.98 for Lindome and 0.12 for Astrio — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lindome vs Astrio?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (18%). Double chance for Lindome or draw is 100%.