Livingston vs Queen's Park Prediction & Preview
Division1 (Scotland) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION1 (SCOTLAND)
Livingston vs Queen's Park
Model pick: Livingston (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.77 – 0.63
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Livingston | Queen's Park |
|---|
| League position | #2 (0 pts) | #6 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Livingston shown at home, Queen's Park shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Livingston — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Queen's Park — last 5
DWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Livingston (home) | Queen's Park (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Scott Pittman (5) | – |
Division1 (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.6
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 51%
Use these Division1 (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.77 vs 0.63):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Livingston or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Queen's Park or draw (X2) | 35% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Livingston clean sheet | 53% |
| Queen's Park clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Livingston is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Livingston are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Livingston vs Queen's Park — FAQ
Who will win Livingston vs Queen's Park?
Our statistical model makes Livingston the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Livingston 60%, draw 24%, Queen's Park 15%.
Will both teams score in Livingston vs Queen's Park?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Livingston vs Queen's Park?
Expected goals are 1.77 for Livingston and 0.63 for Queen's Park — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Livingston vs Queen's Park?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (16%). Double chance for Livingston or draw is 87%.