Livorno vs Torres Prediction & Preview
Serie C - Group A (Italy) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE C - GROUP A (ITALY)
Livorno vs Torres
Model pick: Torres (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.18 – 1.25
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Livorno | Torres |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.8 | 3.0 / 1.2 |
*Livorno shown at home, Torres shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Livorno — last 5
WDWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Torres — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Livorno (home) | Torres (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 46% |
Serie C - Group A (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.33
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie C - Group A (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.18 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Livorno or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Torres or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Livorno clean sheet | 29% |
| Torres clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Torres is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Torres edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Livorno vs Torres — FAQ
Who will win Livorno vs Torres?
Our statistical model makes Torres the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Livorno 34%, draw 28%, Torres 37%.
Will both teams score in Livorno vs Torres?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Livorno vs Torres?
Expected goals are 1.18 for Livorno and 1.25 for Torres — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Livorno vs Torres?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Livorno or draw is 62%.