Livyi Bereh vs Kudrivka Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Ukraine) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (UKRAINE)
Livyi Bereh vs Kudrivka
Model pick: Kudrivka (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.86 – 0.99
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Livyi Bereh | Kudrivka |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Livyi Bereh shown at home, Kudrivka shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Livyi Bereh — last 5
WWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Kudrivka — last 5
WLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 15% of the time; 35% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Livyi Bereh (home) | Kudrivka (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 35% |
Premier League (Ukraine) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 45%
Use these Premier League (Ukraine) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.86 vs 0.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Livyi Bereh or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Kudrivka or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Livyi Bereh clean sheet | 37% |
| Kudrivka clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kudrivka is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Kudrivka edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Livyi Bereh vs Kudrivka — FAQ
Who will win Livyi Bereh vs Kudrivka?
Our statistical model makes Kudrivka the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Livyi Bereh 31%, draw 32%, Kudrivka 37%.
Will both teams score in Livyi Bereh vs Kudrivka?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Livyi Bereh vs Kudrivka?
Expected goals are 0.86 for Livyi Bereh and 0.99 for Kudrivka — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Livyi Bereh vs Kudrivka?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (16%). Double chance for Livyi Bereh or draw is 63%.