Ljungskile vs Oddevold Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Ljungskile vs Oddevold
Model pick: Ljungskile (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.05 – 1.27
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ljungskile | Oddevold |
|---|
| League position | #12 (20 pts) | #10 (22 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.6 | 2.0 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 38% | 38% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Ljungskile shown at home, Oddevold shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ljungskile — last 5
WLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Oddevold — last 5
DLLDD
On the road: clean sheet 39% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ljungskile (home) | Oddevold (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-1-4 in 8 (1.2 / 1.6 goals per game) | 3-3-2 in 8 (2.0 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 39% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 48% |
| Top scorer | Filip Ambroz (1) | Leonardo Shahin (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.05 vs 1.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Ljungskile or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Oddevold or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Ljungskile clean sheet | 28% |
| Oddevold clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ljungskile is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Ljungskile are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ljungskile vs Oddevold — FAQ
Who will win Ljungskile vs Oddevold?
Our statistical model makes Ljungskile the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Ljungskile 42%, draw 26%, Oddevold 32%.
Will both teams score in Ljungskile vs Oddevold?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ljungskile vs Oddevold?
Expected goals are 2.05 for Ljungskile and 1.27 for Oddevold — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ljungskile vs Oddevold?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Ljungskile or draw is 77%.