Ljungskile vs Sandviken Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Ljungskile vs Sandviken
Model pick: Ljungskile (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.86 – 1.42
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ljungskile | Sandviken |
|---|
| League position | #11 (19 pts) | #10 (19 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 43% | 14% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Ljungskile shown at home, Sandviken shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ljungskile — last 5
LLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Sandviken — last 5
DWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 69% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ljungskile (home) | Sandviken (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-1-3 in 7 (1.4 / 1.4 goals per game) | 1-2-4 in 7 (1.1 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 69% |
| Top scorer | Lukas Lindholm Corner (1) | – |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.86 vs 1.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Ljungskile or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Sandviken or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Ljungskile clean sheet | 24% |
| Sandviken clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ljungskile is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Ljungskile are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ljungskile vs Sandviken — FAQ
Who will win Ljungskile vs Sandviken?
Our statistical model makes Ljungskile the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Ljungskile 46%, draw 24%, Sandviken 30%.
Will both teams score in Ljungskile vs Sandviken?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ljungskile vs Sandviken?
Expected goals are 1.86 for Ljungskile and 1.42 for Sandviken — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ljungskile vs Sandviken?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Ljungskile or draw is 70%.