Ljungskile vs Öster Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Ljungskile vs Öster
Model pick: Ljungskile (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.53
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ljungskile | Öster |
| League position | #12 (20 pts) | #8 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*Ljungskile shown at home, Öster shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ljungskile — last 5
LWWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Öster — last 5
LWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ljungskile (home) | Öster (away) |
| This season record | 3-1-5 in 9 (1.1 / 1.6 goals per game) | 2-1-5 in 8 (1.5 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 42% |
| Top scorer | Filip Ambroz (1) | – |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 1.53):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Ljungskile or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — Öster or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Ljungskile clean sheet | 22% |
| Öster clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ljungskile is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Ljungskile are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ljungskile vs Öster — FAQ
Who will win Ljungskile vs Öster?
Our statistical model makes Ljungskile the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Ljungskile 44%, draw 24%, Öster 32%.
Will both teams score in Ljungskile vs Öster?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ljungskile vs Öster?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Ljungskile and 1.53 for Öster — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ljungskile vs Öster?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Ljungskile or draw is 58%.