Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town
Model pick: Carmarthen Town (93%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.17 – 6.13
Total goals: 7.3
Over 2.5: 81%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Llanelli | Carmarthen Town |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 4.0 | 2.6 / 2.4 |
*Llanelli shown at home, Carmarthen Town shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Llanelli — last 5
LLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Carmarthen Town — last 5
LWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Llanelli (home) | Carmarthen Town (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 40%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 6.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-6 (7%) |
| Double chance — Llanelli or draw (1X) | 5% |
| Double chance — Carmarthen Town or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Llanelli clean sheet | 0% |
| Carmarthen Town clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Carmarthen Town is the model's most likely outcome at
93%. Despite playing away, Carmarthen Town edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 7.3, this shapes as an open game (81% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town — FAQ
Who will win Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town?
Our statistical model makes Carmarthen Town the most likely result at 93%. Full probabilities: Llanelli 3%, draw 4%, Carmarthen Town 93%.
Will both teams score in Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town?
Expected goals are 1.17 for Llanelli and 6.13 for Carmarthen Town — about 7.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Llanelli vs Carmarthen Town?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-6 (7%). Double chance for Llanelli or draw is 5%.