Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Colombia) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 01:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (COLOMBIA)
Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali
Model pick: Llaneros (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 0.97
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Llaneros | Deportivo Cali |
|---|
| League position | #14 (22 pts) | #9 (27 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*Llaneros shown at home, Deportivo Cali shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Llaneros — last 5
DWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Deportivo Cali — last 5
LWDLD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Llaneros (home) | Deportivo Cali (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 43% |
| Top scorer | Vasquez Jhon (4) | Yeison Guzman (8) |
Primera Division (Colombia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.27
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Primera Division (Colombia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Llaneros or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Deportivo Cali or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Llaneros clean sheet | 38% |
| Deportivo Cali clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Llaneros is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Llaneros are backed at home, where they average 0.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali — FAQ
Who will win Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali?
Our statistical model makes Llaneros the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Llaneros 40%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cali 30%.
Will both teams score in Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Llaneros and 0.97 for Deportivo Cali — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Llaneros or draw is 70%.