Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians
Model pick: Cardiff Draconians (74%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.26 – 1.99
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Llantwit Major | Cardiff Draconians |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.25 / 3.5 | 1.25 / 1.75 |
*Llantwit Major shown at home, Cardiff Draconians shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Llantwit Major — last 5
LLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Cardiff Draconians — last 5
LDLW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Llantwit Major (home) | Cardiff Draconians (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.53
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.26 vs 1.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (21%) |
| Double chance — Llantwit Major or draw (1X) | 21% |
| Double chance — Cardiff Draconians or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Llantwit Major clean sheet | 14% |
| Cardiff Draconians clean sheet | 77% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cardiff Draconians is the model's most likely outcome at
74%. Despite playing away, Cardiff Draconians edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians — FAQ
Who will win Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
Our statistical model makes Cardiff Draconians the most likely result at 74%. Full probabilities: Llantwit Major 6%, draw 20%, Cardiff Draconians 74%.
Will both teams score in Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
Expected goals are 0.26 for Llantwit Major and 1.99 for Cardiff Draconians — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (21%). Double chance for Llantwit Major or draw is 21%.