Llanuwchllyn vs Holyhead Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Llanuwchllyn vs Holyhead
Model pick: Holyhead (72%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.17 – 3.21
Total goals: 4.4
Over 2.5: 70%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Llanuwchllyn | Holyhead |
|---|
| League position | #14 (3 pts) | #13 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.75 / 3.75 | 1.25 / 1.75 |
*Llanuwchllyn shown at home, Holyhead shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Llanuwchllyn — last 5
LWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Holyhead — last 5
WLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Llanuwchllyn (home) | Holyhead (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.53
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 3.21):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-3 (8%) |
| Double chance — Llanuwchllyn or draw (1X) | 23% |
| Double chance — Holyhead or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Llanuwchllyn clean sheet | 4% |
| Holyhead clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Holyhead is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Despite playing away, Holyhead edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.4, this shapes as an open game (70% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Llanuwchllyn vs Holyhead — FAQ
Who will win Llanuwchllyn vs Holyhead?
Our statistical model makes Holyhead the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Llanuwchllyn 13%, draw 16%, Holyhead 72%.
Will both teams score in Llanuwchllyn vs Holyhead?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Llanuwchllyn vs Holyhead?
Expected goals are 1.17 for Llanuwchllyn and 3.21 for Holyhead — about 4.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Llanuwchllyn vs Holyhead?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-3 (8%). Double chance for Llanuwchllyn or draw is 23%.