Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus
Model pick: Spelle-Venhaus (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.32 – 2.9
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lohne | Spelle-Venhaus |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.0 | 5.0 / 0.0 |
*Lohne shown at home, Spelle-Venhaus shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lohne — last 5
D
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Spelle-Venhaus — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lohne (home) | Spelle-Venhaus (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.32 vs 2.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (17%) |
| Double chance — Lohne or draw (1X) | 11% |
| Double chance — Spelle-Venhaus or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Lohne clean sheet | 6% |
| Spelle-Venhaus clean sheet | 73% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Spelle-Venhaus is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Despite playing away, Spelle-Venhaus edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus — FAQ
Who will win Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus?
Our statistical model makes Spelle-Venhaus the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: Lohne 4%, draw 12%, Spelle-Venhaus 84%.
Will both teams score in Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus?
Expected goals are 0.32 for Lohne and 2.9 for Spelle-Venhaus — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (17%). Double chance for Lohne or draw is 11%.