Loko Praha vs Benesov Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Loko Praha vs Benesov
Model pick: Loko Praha (99%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 9.52 – 0.81
Total goals: 10.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Loko Praha | Benesov |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Loko Praha shown at home, Benesov shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Loko Praha — last 5
WDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Benesov — last 5
WDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Loko Praha (home) | Benesov (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (9.52 vs 0.81):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Loko Praha or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Benesov or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Loko Praha clean sheet | 44% |
| Benesov clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Loko Praha is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Loko Praha are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 10.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Loko Praha vs Benesov — FAQ
Who will win Loko Praha vs Benesov?
Our statistical model makes Loko Praha the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Loko Praha 99%, draw 1%, Benesov 0%.
Will both teams score in Loko Praha vs Benesov?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Loko Praha vs Benesov?
Expected goals are 9.52 for Loko Praha and 0.81 for Benesov — about 10.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Loko Praha vs Benesov?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (14%). Double chance for Loko Praha or draw is 100%.