Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern
Model pick: Lokomotiv Oslo (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.94 – 0.72
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lokomotiv Oslo | Ullern |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.0 | 2.25 / 2.75 |
*Lokomotiv Oslo shown at home, Ullern shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lokomotiv Oslo — last 5
WLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Ullern — last 5
LDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lokomotiv Oslo (home) | Ullern (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.94 vs 0.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Lokomotiv Oslo or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Ullern or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Lokomotiv Oslo clean sheet | 49% |
| Ullern clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lokomotiv Oslo is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Lokomotiv Oslo are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern — FAQ
Who will win Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern?
Our statistical model makes Lokomotiv Oslo the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Lokomotiv Oslo 62%, draw 23%, Ullern 16%.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern?
Expected goals are 1.94 for Lokomotiv Oslo and 0.72 for Ullern — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lokomotiv Oslo vs Ullern?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Lokomotiv Oslo or draw is 87%.