Lommel vs Westerlo Prediction & Preview
Pro League (Belgium) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRO LEAGUE (BELGIUM)
Lommel vs Westerlo
Model pick: Lommel (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.66 – 1.25
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Lommel | Westerlo |
|---|
| League position | #13 (1 pts) | #16 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 2.8 |
*Lommel shown at home, Westerlo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Lommel — last 5
LWLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Westerlo — last 5
LDLLL
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Lommel (home) | Westerlo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 48% |
| Top scorer | – | Isa Sakamoto (5) |
Pro League (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Pro League (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.66 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Lommel or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Westerlo or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Lommel clean sheet | 29% |
| Westerlo clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lommel is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Lommel are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Lommel vs Westerlo — FAQ
Who will win Lommel vs Westerlo?
Our statistical model makes Lommel the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Lommel 40%, draw 27%, Westerlo 33%.
Will both teams score in Lommel vs Westerlo?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Lommel vs Westerlo?
Expected goals are 1.66 for Lommel and 1.25 for Westerlo — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Lommel vs Westerlo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Lommel or draw is 71%.