Londrina vs Atlético GO Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Brazil) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 22:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (BRAZIL)
Londrina vs Atlético GO
Model pick: Londrina (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.14 – 1.08
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Londrina | Atlético GO |
| League position | #17 (20 pts) | #9 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 30% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
*Londrina shown at home, Atlético GO shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Londrina — last 5
DDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Atlético GO — last 5
WDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Londrina (home) | Atlético GO (away) |
| This season record | 3-3-4 in 10 (1.5 / 1.4 goals per game) | 3-4-3 in 10 (0.9 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 42% |
| Top scorer | Santos Bruno (10) | Coutinho Gustavo (7) |
Serie B (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.17
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Serie B (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.14 vs 1.08):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Londrina or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Atlético GO or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Londrina clean sheet | 34% |
| Atlético GO clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Londrina is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Londrina are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Londrina vs Atlético GO — FAQ
Who will win Londrina vs Atlético GO?
Our statistical model makes Londrina the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Londrina 36%, draw 30%, Atlético GO 34%.
Will both teams score in Londrina vs Atlético GO?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Londrina vs Atlético GO?
Expected goals are 1.14 for Londrina and 1.08 for Atlético GO — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Londrina vs Atlético GO?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Londrina or draw is 66%.