Londrina vs Juventude Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Brazil) ยท Aug 29, 2026 ยท kickoff 19:00 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (BRAZIL)
Londrina vs Juventude
Model pick: Juventude (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.92 โ 0.95
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 46%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Londrina | Juventude |
| League position | #18 (21 pts) | #2 (42 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 27% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.8 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
*Londrina shown at home, Juventude shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Londrina โ last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Juventude โ last 5
DLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Londrina (home) | Juventude (away) |
| This season record | 3-4-4 in 11 (1.4 / 1.3 goals per game) | 4-3-4 in 11 (0.8 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 42% |
| Top scorer | Santos Bruno (10) | Silva Rai (5) |
Serie B (Brazil) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.17
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Serie B (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.92 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (15%) |
| Double chance โ Londrina or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance โ Juventude or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Londrina clean sheet | 39% |
| Juventude clean sheet | 40% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Juventude is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Despite playing away, Juventude edge the model โ their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Londrina vs Juventude โ FAQ
Who will win Londrina vs Juventude?
Our statistical model makes Juventude the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Londrina 33%, draw 32%, Juventude 35%.
Will both teams score in Londrina vs Juventude?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Londrina vs Juventude?
Expected goals are 0.92 for Londrina and 0.95 for Juventude โ about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Londrina vs Juventude?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (15%). Double chance for Londrina or draw is 65%.